Ontario

There are 100 Ontario spots. 6 teams are already Qualified, so 94 spots are currently points-driven.

Ontario has teams at 2 remaining events, and 2 still have Impact paths that could materially change the points threshold to get in.

In the baseline simulation, the practical Ontario get-in line centers around 24 points. If the remaining Impact paths go badly for the bubble, the line still centers around 26 points and can reach 29.

Open spots

94

Points-driven slots right now

Remaining events

2

Qualifier events still able to move the line

Projected cutline

24

Practical get-in line at p50

High-end cutline

29

High-end cutline if remaining auto-qualifiers hit the bubble

Ontario team table

Projected points show the simulated median. Range shows the p10 / p50 / p90 spread from the Monte Carlo runs.

RankTeamNowProjRangeLeftChanceStatusWhat they need
7
4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.
66125
118 · 125 · 134
1
100%
QualifiedQualified already
11
1325Inverse Paradox
119119
119 · 119 · 119
0
100%
QualifiedQualified already
29
1360Orbit Robotics
4474
66 · 74 · 83
1
100%
QualifiedQualified already
33
7712ACCN UMOJA
7171
71 · 71 · 71
0
100%
QualifiedQualified already
54
772Sabre Bytes Robotics
3455
47 · 55 · 65
1
100%
QualifiedQualified already
79
6865Manitoulin Metal
1925
19 · 25 · 35
1
100%
QualifiedQualified already
1
4946The Alpha Dogs
149149
149 · 149 · 149
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
2
2056OP Robotics
73142
135 · 142 · 152
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
3
7558ALT-F4
141141
141 · 141 · 141
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
4
1114Simbotics
72139
131 · 139 · 148
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
5
9785Alectrona
137137
137 · 137 · 137
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
6
4678CyberCavs
65136
128 · 136 · 145
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
8
188Blizzard
123123
123 · 123 · 123
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
9
610Crescent Coyotes
121121
121 · 121 · 121
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
10
1241THEORY6
73118
111 · 118 · 128
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
12
2200BCR Blackout
119119
119 · 119 · 119
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
13
10015Bubbles
113113
113 · 113 · 113
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
14
5406Celt-X
53110
103 · 110 · 120
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
15
11270Nova
105105
105 · 105 · 105
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
16
5885Villanova WiredCats
5799
92 · 99 · 109
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
17
7520Team MineKee
9494
94 · 94 · 94
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
18
4069Lo-Ellen Robotics
9393
93 · 93 · 93
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
19
8884Knight Owls
9191
91 · 91 · 91
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
20
3683Team DAVE
4889
82 · 89 · 99
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
21
2935NACI Robotics
8989
89 · 89 · 89
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
22
1305Ice Cubed
8989
89 · 89 · 89
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
23
2702Rebels
4783
76 · 83 · 92
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
24
3161Tronic Titans
4983
75 · 83 · 92
1
99.9%
LockedLocked on points
25
7902Markham FireBirds
8282
82 · 82 · 82
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
26
4039MakeShift Robotics
3581
74 · 81 · 91
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
27
9098FireHawks
8181
81 · 81 · 81
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
28
4152Hoya Robotics
8080
80 · 80 · 80
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
30
5409Chargers
7373
73 · 73 · 73
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
31
10611Gemini Robotics
4572
64 · 72 · 81
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
32
4907Thunderstamps
3271
63 · 71 · 80
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
34
9575Silver Robotics
7171
71 · 71 · 71
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
35
6978QuickStrike Niagara
3770
62 · 70 · 79
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
36
781Kinetic Knights
4269
62 · 69 · 79
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
37
2609Beaverworx
6969
69 · 69 · 69
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
38
7200Banting Robotics
6969
69 · 69 · 69
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
39
4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS
6969
69 · 69 · 69
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
40
4976Revolt Robotics
6868
68 · 68 · 68
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
41
9062Critical Circuits
3865
58 · 65 · 75
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
42
865WARP7
3264
57 · 64 · 74
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
43
8349Newbotics
3363
55 · 63 · 72
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
44
3739Oakbotics
3562
54 · 62 · 72
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
45
2013Cybergnomes
4361
54 · 61 · 71
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
46
5024Raider Robotics
3160
53 · 60 · 70
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
47
5032The Falcons
6060
60 · 60 · 60
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
48
4920Belle River Boltheads
2859
51 · 59 · 68
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
49
6875Amazon Warriors Robotics
3258
50 · 58 · 67
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
50
8089Rockway Robotics
5858
58 · 58 · 58
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
51
4917Sir Lancerbot
5757
57 · 57 · 57
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
52
10554Team VIPER
5757
57 · 57 · 57
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
53
6135Arctos
5757
57 · 57 · 57
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
55
3756RamFerno
3055
47 · 55 · 64
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
56
2706Merge Robotics
5353
53 · 53 · 53
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
57
1334OT Devils
5353
53 · 53 · 53
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
58
4951CDS Cyclones
2752
45 · 52 · 62
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
59
11227Goose Goose Duck
5151
51 · 51 · 51
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
60
7480Machine Mavericks
5151
51 · 51 · 51
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
61
7476Spongebotics
2950
42 · 50 · 60
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
62
9589Arcade Robotics
4949
49 · 49 · 49
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
63
2708Lake Effect Robotics
4848
48 · 48 · 48
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
64
6397Romero Robotics
4848
48 · 48 · 48
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
65
6632Northview Robotics
4848
48 · 48 · 48
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
66
9580Grizzly Gears
4747
47 · 47 · 47
0
100%
LockedLocked on points
67
1310Runnymede Robotics
4646
46 · 46 · 46
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
68
9659Vanier Vikings
4646
46 · 46 · 46
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
69
5031Full Metal Mustangs
4545
45 · 45 · 45
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
70
5870League of Logic
4343
43 · 43 · 43
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
71
3543C4 Robotics
4141
41 · 41 · 41
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
72
11362RoBumpers
2840
32 · 40 · 49
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
73
5036The Robo Devils
4040
40 · 40 · 40
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
74
9569Milliken Mills Silver Knights
3939
39 · 39 · 39
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
75
8729Sparkling H2O
3939
39 · 39 · 39
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
76
6864GryphTech Robotics
3232
32 · 32 · 32
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
77
854Iron Bears
3131
31 · 31 · 31
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
78
8850Ed Bears
3131
31 · 31 · 31
0
100%
SafeSitting above the line
80
6110Doc Botics
2147
39 · 47 · 56
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
81
2386Trojans
2345
38 · 45 · 54
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
82
2852DM High Voltage
2045
37 · 45 · 54
1
99.9%
SafeSitting above the line
83
8081UMEI Lightning Robotics
2242
35 · 42 · 52
1
99.8%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
84
919PANTHERA TIGRIS
2440
32 · 40 · 50
1
99.8%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
85
9262Humberside Huskies
1941
34 · 41 · 51
1
99.7%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
86
1229Tidal Shift
2040
32 · 40 · 49
1
99.3%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
87
10514Mixed Métal
1938
31 · 38 · 48
1
99.2%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
88
2634The Gryphons
2435
28 · 35 · 45
1
99%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
89
771SWAT
2035
28 · 35 · 45
1
97%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
90
5689CK Cyber Pack
2235
27 · 35 · 44
1
97%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
91
11428Corpus Christi
1932
25 · 32 · 42
1
91%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
92
9263ALD Lions
1631
23 · 31 · 40
1
87%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
93
6854Viking Robotics
1330
23 · 30 · 40
1
87%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
94
5912Copper Hawks
1829
22 · 29 · 39
1
83%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
95
7757Atomic Dishwashers
1229
22 · 29 · 39
1
79%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
96
4688Saints Bot
1128
21 · 28 · 37
1
76%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event
97
9562Royal Robotics
1127
20 · 27 · 37
1
73%
In controlSolid result at ONT District Niagara College Event
98
6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics
2424
24 · 24 · 24
0
61%
Wait and seeWaiting on results
99
6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots
1125
18 · 25 · 35
1
55%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Niagara College Event plus help
100
7659HNMCS Robotics
1525
17 · 25 · 34
1
51%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Niagara College Event plus help
101
9592Blues Robotics
1223
15 · 23 · 32
1
39%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Niagara College Event plus help
102
76037603 VESPA ROBOTICS
2424
24 · 24 · 24
0
36%
Wait and seeWaiting on results
103
7058StrathDroids
1222
14 · 22 · 31
1
33%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
104
4617DAUN
1122
14 · 22 · 31
1
31%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
105
5719Pink Titans
1021
13 · 21 · 30
1
27%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
106
5408Kennedy Kinetics
1321
13 · 21 · 30
1
27%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
107
11002Montcalm Robotics
1219
12 · 19 · 28
1
19%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Niagara College Event plus help
108
6725WildBOTS
1017
10 · 17 · 26
1
13%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
109
11215Les Panthères
1017
10 · 17 · 26
1
12%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
110
10167Jeunes Sans Frontières
2323
23 · 23 · 23
0
10%
Wait and seeWaiting on results
111
5672First Nations-STEM
815
8 · 15 · 24
1
9%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Niagara College Event plus help
112
4940Knight Vision
814
8 · 14 · 23
1
7%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
113
6162Cap Alpaca 6162
814
8 · 14 · 23
1
7%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
114
8789The Lost 10mm Sockets
08
0 · 8 · 17
1
2%
Needs helpStrong result at ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event plus help
115
4327Q Branch
2222
22 · 22 · 22
0
1%
Wait and seeWaiting on results
116
9782Wextech Titans
2222
22 · 22 · 22
0
<0.1%
Wait and seeWaiting on results
117
5596Wolverine Robotics
1919
19 · 19 · 19
0
<0.1%
Wait and seeDone competing and needs the line to hold
118
4015Jags
1818
18 · 18 · 18
0
<0.1%
Wait and seeDone competing and needs the line to hold
119
8764Thunder Robotics
1717
17 · 17 · 17
0
<0.1%
Wait and seeDone competing and needs the line to hold
120
3560MechaWolves
1515
15 · 15 · 15
0
<0.1%
Wait and seeDone competing and needs the line to hold

Ontario biggest swing teams

6975 The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

7659 HNMCS Robotics

ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

9592 Blues Robotics

ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

7058 StrathDroids

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

4617 DAUN

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

5408 Kennedy Kinetics

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

5719 Pink Titans

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

9562 Royal Robotics

ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

4688 Saints Bot

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

7757 Atomic Dishwashers

ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualify chance by district points earned at this event

Ontario Impact watch

These teams could still take an auto-qualifier path and eat a points slot. If they all hit, the projected cutline moves from 24 to 26 and can reach 29.

8789 The Lost 10mm Sockets

ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

If this team takes an auto-qualifier path here, it can eat a points slot and tighten the line.

Current point-path chance: 2%

Current points: 0

Can create a new auto-qualifier

5672 First Nations-STEM

ONT District Niagara College Event

If this team takes an auto-qualifier path here, it can eat a points slot and tighten the line.

Current point-path chance: 9%

Current points: 8

Can create a new auto-qualifier


Data: prediction · team scenarios · event scenarios · impact watch · impact summary

Snapshot date: 2026-04-01